Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.421339 0.494346 0.574154 0.667600 0.773726 0.890213 1.027446
2025-01-19 0.296359 0.391548 0.506080 0.652791 0.834352 1.050213 1.324659
2025-01-26 0.229287 0.335253 0.473438 0.663906 0.916244 1.235374 1.665181
2025-02-02 0.183012 0.292763 0.446308 0.671594 0.987510 1.407730 2.000465
2025-02-09 0.148793 0.258438 0.421878 0.675298 1.048611 1.566997 2.327137
2025-02-16 0.126531 0.236721 0.410522 0.693349 1.128015 1.754008 2.702256
2025-02-23 0.106686 0.214459 0.393875 0.699394 1.187709 1.914772 3.048927
2025-03-02 0.085519 0.185338 0.361051 0.674398 1.195297 1.996867 3.283736
2025-03-09 0.075190 0.173748 0.355590 0.692529 1.270960 2.185134 3.687043
2025-03-16 0.065474 0.161276 0.346406 0.702436 1.332810 2.354671 4.070432
2025-03-23 0.060522 0.157525 0.352535 0.739516 1.442576 2.606429 4.595840
2025-03-30 0.051656 0.143430 0.336590 0.733941 1.477263 2.737166 4.934213
2025-04-06 0.043374 0.129050 0.318328 0.722560 1.501879 2.855019 5.262916
2025-04-13 0.036704 0.116983 0.302984 0.714922 1.532373 2.984611 5.618705
2025-04-20 0.032661 0.110651 0.299057 0.729667 1.605602 3.192358 6.117305
2025-04-27 0.028798 0.103839 0.292931 0.738902 1.668578 3.385201 6.599803
2025-05-04 0.025180 0.096773 0.285036 0.743217 1.721789 3.562988 7.064399
2025-05-11 0.022825 0.092887 0.284226 0.762901 1.807036 3.803754 7.651527
2025-05-18 0.020143 0.087225 0.278015 0.769493 1.865638 3.997753 8.163496
2025-05-25 0.016479 0.077113 0.258410 0.742379 1.851096 4.052020 8.423424
2025-06-01 0.015031 0.074403 0.258387 0.762058 1.937778 4.305011 9.060517
2025-06-08 0.013447 0.070689 0.254926 0.772808 2.005589 4.524428 9.644246
2025-06-15 0.012891 0.070885 0.262850 0.813023 2.141479 4.884857 10.508569